Monday night’s NFL slate featured just one game, but it delivered plenty of drama. The San Francisco 49ers hosted the Washington Commanders and came away with a 23–17 victory, keeping things tighter than many anticipated. Washington hung around all night and made it a genuine contest, but the 49ers ultimately did enough at home to secure the win and improve their standing in the NFC.
The XO Sports model had a strong showing on this one. The model correctly called San Francisco as the winner, projecting a final of 29–18, which captured the right outcome and the general scoring range even if the actual totals came in a bit lower. This game was flagged as a top pick heading into Monday night, carrying an 80.8% win probability for the home side. With the predicted side landing correctly, the model finished the day a perfect 1-for-1, validating its confidence in the 49ers on their home turf.