Foxborough was rocking on Sunday afternoon as the New England Patriots put together one of their most dominant performances of the 2026 season, steamrolling the Las Vegas Raiders by a final score of 45-17. It was a statement win for the Patriots, who controlled the game from start to finish and left little doubt about who owned the field. For XO Sports users who followed the AI model’s call, the night belonged to New England.
XO Sports Called It: Patriots Win at Home
Heading into Sunday’s matchup, the XO Sports AI model picked the New England Patriots to win at home, and that is exactly what happened. The model projected a final score of Patriots 24, Raiders 19, which captured the directional story correctly. New England was the better team, Las Vegas was limited on offense, and the home side pulled away for a convincing result.
The actual margin of victory went well beyond what the model projected, with New England pouring on 45 points in a performance that exceeded expectations. But the core of the prediction, that the Patriots would win this game at home, proved to be spot on. That is what matters most when it comes to evaluating model accuracy, and XO Sports delivered on the most important call of the night.
A Lopsided Afternoon in Foxborough
The Raiders came into this game hoping to steal one on the road, but New England had other ideas. The Patriots offense found its rhythm early and never let up, while the defense kept Las Vegas firmly in check. The 28-point winning margin told the full story of just how dominant New England was on both sides of the ball.
For Las Vegas, it was a night to forget. The Raiders struggled to generate any sustained offensive momentum, and by the time the second half rolled around, the game was well out of reach. It is the kind of performance that will force the Raiders to do some serious soul searching as the season continues.
Edge Picks Recap: A Tough Night on the Props
While the match prediction landed cleanly, XO Sports also offered two Edge Picks for this game, and both came up short on a night when the scoring totals ran wild.
The first Edge Pick was Total Points Under 44.5, projected at 43 combined points with a probability of 55.6 percent at -104 odds. With the final total sitting at 62 combined points, this one fell well outside the projected range. The second Edge Pick was Brock Bowers Under 73.5 Receiving Yards, projected at 66.09 yards with a 64.9 percent probability at -113 odds. That pick also resulted in a loss on the night.
Both Edge Picks missed, and it is worth being straightforward about that. The game turned into a blowout that pushed totals and player stats beyond what the model anticipated. That said, the match prediction itself was the headline call, and XO Sports got that right where it counted most.
What This Means Going Forward
This Patriots win carries real weight heading into the rest of the 2026 season. New England looks like a team with legitimate momentum, and a performance like this against an AFC opponent is the kind of result that shapes playoff conversations. For the Raiders, the road just got a lot harder. A loss of this magnitude raises questions about roster construction, offensive execution, and whether this team can find a way to compete in a tough AFC landscape.
Expect the Patriots to carry confidence into their next matchup, while Las Vegas will be under pressure to respond quickly and prove this was an outlier rather than a sign of deeper problems.
Get Your Picks from XO Sports
The XO Sports AI model correctly identified the Patriots as the team to back in this one, and that is the kind of insight that can make a real difference on game day. Whether you are looking at match outcomes, player props, or total points, XO Sports gives you data-driven predictions built to help you make smarter decisions. Head over to XO Sports today and put the power of AI-driven analysis to work for your picks every single week.