Another day, another winner for XO Sports bettors. On Sunday, October 25th, the Los Angeles Rams traveled to Las Vegas to take on the Raiders, and our AI model had a sharp lean on a specific player prop that was worth paying attention to. The pick: Kyren Williams Under 26.5 Receiving Yards, priced at -113. The model projected Williams would finish with just 25.62 receiving yards, and that is exactly the kind of precise projection that separates XO Sports from generic prediction tools.
Why This Pick Made Sense
Kyren Williams is one of the more versatile backs in the NFL, capable of contributing both on the ground and as a pass catcher out of the backfield. However, not every game calls for heavy running back involvement in the passing game, and this matchup had the signs of a lower-target day for Williams as a receiver.
The XO Sports AI model digs into historical usage trends, target share data, opposing defensive schemes, and game script projections to identify spots where a player prop line may be slightly inflated. At 26.5 receiving yards, the market was pricing in a moderate receiving contribution from Williams. Our model disagreed, projecting him closer to the 25-yard range, which gave it a 62.7% probability of the under hitting. That kind of edge, combined with a near-even money price at -113, represents solid expected value.
How It Played Out
The model was right on the money. Williams finished the game without surpassing that 26.5-yard receiving threshold, giving XO Sports bettors who followed this pick a clean winner. The Raiders defense did enough to limit Williams in the passing game, and the game script unfolded in a way that kept his receiving opportunities in check throughout the afternoon.
This is not luck. It is the XO Sports AI doing what it does best, processing thousands of data points to surface high-confidence plays that human bettors might overlook. A running back receiving yard prop is not always the flashiest bet on the board, but it is exactly the type of market where smart, data-driven analysis can find a real edge.
Start Winning with XO Sports AI
Picks like this one are available every single week across the NFL and other major sports. Whether you are looking at player props, spreads, or totals, the XO Sports model runs the numbers so you do not have to. The platform surfaces the picks with the strongest probability advantage and presents them in a clear, easy-to-follow format built for everyday bettors and sharp players alike.
Ready to get in on the action? Visit XO Sports today and start following AI-powered picks that are built on real data, not hunches. Your bankroll will thank you.